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A | 在2026年WIC这场体量巨大的展会中,我们看到了行业正在迎来全新的发展阶段。

B | "The accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO constitutes a test of loyalty to the western bloc, in particular to the US and Great Britain, which are the real geopolitical and geostrategic beneficiaries of the ongoing conflict," said Dr. Tiberio Graziani, chairman of Vision & Global Trends International Institute for Global Analyses.,The two Nordic countries' neutrality differs. Sweden had not joined a military alliance or participated in any war since 1814, with its neutrality being flexible, self-declared and not enshrined in law, as the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars noted in its 2 February 2022 study.,In contrast, Finland's neutrality was stipulated by the Paris Peace Treaty of 1947 which was signed after the end of the Second World War between the Allied powers - including the USSR, the UK, the US and France - and former Nazi Germany allies, such as Italy, Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria and Finland.,"This definitely appears to be a violation of Finland’s international agreements signed after WWII with the Soviet Union then later Russia," said Earl Rasmussen, executive vice-president of Eurasia Group, citing the 1947 treaty as well as the 1992 Russo-Finnish treaty.,It raises questions as to whether benefits from the abandoned neutrality will outweigh potential security risks for the two Nordic states.,"I am puzzled by how this inclusion will provide increased security, it appears it will likely further deteriorate relations between Russia and the EU and more specifically with Finland and Sweden," Rasmussen said. "Strategically, I am not sure what the real impact will be. Essentially, both Finland and Sweden are de facto NATO members to include coordination and joint exercises. However, tensions will likely increase and increased defensive measures will likely occur in Russia’s northern regions as well as Kaliningrad.",Why Finland & Sweden’s NATO Admission Is So Important to the US16 May, 19:17 GMT,What Do Finns and Swedes Think About NATO Membership?,Meanwhile, popular support for NATO membership in both Nordic states has never been high.,According to a 2021 poll commissioned by EVA Finnish Business and Policy Forum, around 26% of Finns were in favor of joining NATO, 40% against and 33% remained undecided. A January 2022 Demoskop survey showed 42% of Swedes supporting NATO accession and 37% of respondents opposed it.,The Russian special operation in Ukraine is said to have invigorated NATO proponents in both Nordic countries. Rasmussen noted that recent surveys in Finland have shown a spike in support up to 76%. However, in Sweden, support to join NATO has remained relatively low, climbing to just 47%, according to him.,Meanwhile, unlike Sweden, Finland shares a 1,340 km (830 mi) border with Russia and has maintained longstanding economic relations with Moscow for decades. As of 2019, Finland imported around 60% of its energy from Russia with the latter being the fourth largest importer of Finnish goods in 2017, according to the Wilson Center. Furthermore, Russian speakers constitute the third largest ethnic group in the Nordic country.,Putin: If NATO Infrastructure is Deployed to Finland & Sweden, Russia Will Respond in ‘Mirror Way’01:02 GMT,"Even during the Cold War, both states were neutral and non-NATO members, with Finland developing strong economic and trade relations with Russia," the Eurasia Group vice-president explained. "As trade degrades and energy sharing diminishes there will likely be a strain placed on the economies, mostly with Finland.",Moscow has repeatedly underscored that Russia harbors no hostile intentions against either Nordic country, yet also signaling that the latest NATO expansion will not make the continent more stable or secure. Earlier this week, Russian President Vladimir Putin emphasized that the Kremlin has "nothing that could worry us in terms of Finland or Sweden's membership in NATO," adding, however, that if military equipment or troops are deployed along the border, Moscow will have to "respond in a mirror manner and create the same threats in the territories from which they threaten us.",There is yet another controversy surrounding Sweden and Finland's accession to the western military bloc: neither Nordic state has held a popular referendum to find out whether the public has really weighed all the pros and cons of NATO membership.,"Political leadership in both countries is taking a certain degree of risk to push forward the joining without a public referendum," Rasmussen said. "I am sure Washington and Brussels realize that risk.",In addition to that, NATO accession may increase political polarization in both Nordic states, according to the Eurasia Group vice-president. In particular, "the Finnish government is made up of several political parties with no single party having a clear majority, hence requiring partnerships being established," he noted, adding that worsening economic conditions could "potentially create divisions politically and thus alignments could easily change.",Meanwhile, the Swedish left has lashed out at the government and the Social Democrats over Stockholm's NATO admission deal with Ankara. According to Expressen, the Greens and the Left Party are mooting a no-confidence vote against Foreign Minister Ann Linde.,Bank of England Head: UK To Face More Inflation Than Other Major Economies10:47 GMT,Why NATO's 2% Requirement Appears Unrealistic Today,NATO rules may trigger further controversy as they will require Sweden and Finland to spend 2% of gross domestic product (GDP) on their defense budgets. Even though the Nordic countries have committed to reaching the benchmark by 2024, the long-term viability of their promises is in question, given skyrocketing inflation in Europe.,Inflation in Finland has recently risen to its highest level in over 30 years, hitting 7.1% in May. In April, the country's consumer price index (CPI), a popular gauge for inflation, stood at 5.7%, according to Statistics Finland.,Likewise, annual inflation in Sweden jumped from 6.4% in April to 7.3% in May, according to the country's Consumer Price Index with fixed interest rate (CPIF).,"To this end, just as the Ukrainian people are sacrificed, so the economies of European countries will be sacrificed, including Finland and Sweden," forecast Graziani. "Very difficult economic and social months await us in Europe. It will be a very hot autumn. Political crises in various countries of the European Union are likely to be hypothesized.",EU member states, the UK and the US are taking efforts to tame galloping inflation which throws their capability of adhering to NATO requirements into question. To complicate matters further, the UK is calling to step up funding and arming of Ukraine "until victory" amid the Russian special operation.,"The US and UK are using the conflict in Ukraine to pressure greater EU involvement and support to include NATO contributions," said Rasmussen. "While it is being projected that member states will meet their 2% objectives by 2024, based on developing economic conditions and a pending recession, I question the realism of that projection. Increasing real contributions for defense along with rising tensions between the EU and Russia may prove challenging as economic conditions worsen resulting in political disruptions across Europe.",Meanwhile, the US is not in its best shape either, according to Rasmussen. The country steadily moves forward into a potentially deep recession; increased tensions with China; emerging challenges in Latin America; tensions with Iran; and economic challenges at home. The scholar believes that it is likely one will see a major political change in the US in 2022 midterms, in 2024 and beyond.,What’s more, as the Republican Party becomes increasingly influenced by MAGA supporters, Trump's skepticism towards the NATO alliance may get a second wind in 2024. And this raises further questions about the future of the Cold War-era military bloc.。 据统计,今年共有242家机器人与智能硬件相关企业参展,占全部展商的23.6%,成为WAIC 2026最热赛道;206家参展主体集中于“算力·芯片·基础设施”大类,占比20.1%;大模型与生成式AI赛道共有130家参展主体,体量与去年大致持平。

C | 在这组数据背后,一个值得观察的变化是:以电商和物流起家的京东,正在把展陈重心从数字服务转向物理世界。本届WAIC,京东以"AI进入物理世界"为主题,展出了JoyAI大模型矩阵、具身数据全链路基础设施,以及面向家庭场景的JoyInside AI Home。 从入口到中间层 JoyInside是京东在本届展会上重点推介的项目。据现场披露,该项目已与近200家家电、机器人、玩具、健康设备品牌达成技术合作,接入硬件的平均对话轮次提升超过120%。 2026年,JoyInside计划接入超千万台终端设备。

D | 从定位上看,JoyInside并非底层操作系统,而是介于AI能力与硬件之间的交互中间层。京东科技AI创新业务负责人戴文军在现场表示,这一层的设计逻辑是围绕家庭中的多设备、多场景、多用户,实现设备间的协同响应。商业模式上,JoyInside向合作品牌免费开放自动语音识别(ASR)、语音合成(TTS)和大模型交互能力,硬件端仅产生模组增量成本。

E | 同时,京东零售渠道为合作硬件提供新品首发、线上销售和售后维修的一体化支撑。这种"技术免费+渠道绑定"的策略,与当前智能家居行业的普遍打法类似——小米、华为、海尔等厂商均在以不同方式推进全屋智能生态,京东的差异化在于其电商履约能力而非技术独占性。 京东集团副总裁、京东探索研究院副院长段楠在本届WAIC上阐述了京东面向物理AI的阶梯式技术架构:数字智能、附身智能、物理智能。这一框架的核心逻辑是,在基础模型能力之上逐步演进,推动AI从数字世界走向物理世界。 第一层是数字智能,即JoyAI多模态大模型底座,覆盖图像、语音、视频、实时交互和具身智能等方向。

F | 部分模型已开源至Hugging Face和GitHub。

G | 第二层是附身智能,将大模型能力轻量化附着到机器人、可穿戴设备和家电家居设备,实现从"单品智能"到"空间智能"的升级。第三层是通用具身智能,目标是让移动机器人在真实空间自主完成感知、建模、抓取和全流程作业。 这一架构的底层基础设施包括具身数据采集系统、JoyAI-RA具身基础模型、开源EgoLive第一视角数据集,以及JoyAI-Sim仿真数据合成工具链。

H | 从行业视角看,这种真实数据+仿真数据+真机验证的闭环设计,与智元、优必选、宇树等具身智能厂商的数据策略并无本质差异,区别主要在于京东拥有零售和物流场景产生的真实交互数据。 数据 本届WAIC上,京东集团副总裁龚义成披露,京东计划在两年内积累1000万小时高质量具身数据。这一目标的背景是,行业对数据规模的需求正在快速提升——此前业界普遍认为百万小时数据即可满足训练需求,但随着模型泛化要求提高,共识已逐步向千万小时量级迁移。 但数据的质量如何定义,目前行业内尚未形成统一标准。

I | 龚义成在现场表示,脱离模型和真机场景验证的采集数据只是表面素材,真正有价值的数据必须完成采集、处理、训练、真机验证的端到端闭环。 这一判断与当前具身智能行业的核心瓶颈一致:适配机器人训练的高质量物理交互数据仍然匮乏。值得注意的是,1000万小时并非一个固定的终点,而是基于模型迭代需求测算的阶段性规模。

J | 在数据竞赛日趋激烈的背景下,京东、智元、优必选等厂商均在以不同方式扩充数据储备,谁能率先建立可复用的数据闭环,将在下一阶段竞争中占据优势。 物理AI的落地距离尽管具身智能在本届WAIC上备受关注,但段楠在现场也承认,当前全球具身智能尚未迎来标志性的"GPT-3时刻"。模型泛化能力、统一评测标准、跨本体迁移技术均处于单点突破阶段,尚无成熟的通用解决方案。这一判断与行业现状基本吻合。不同于互联网大模型仅需算力、数据和模型三大要素,具身智能增加了硬件规模化这一维度。硬件量产和终端落地,正在成为下一阶段行业竞争的关键变量。 京东的优势在于其零售和物流场景可以提供真实的物理交互环境,但劣势在于其机器人整机制造能力弱于专业厂商。从战略定位看,京东的长期目标是成为物理世界运营公司,同步发力数据、模型、算力和硬件。段楠表示,京东内部衡量AI业务落地效果的指标包括体验、成本和效率,现阶段以高质量数据规模化作为核心抓手。但他也承认,未来具身智能行业不会出现一家独大的格局,开放共建是必然趋势。这一表态本身说明,在物理AI这条赛道上,京东仍在寻找明确的边界。 更多精彩内容,关注钛媒体微信号(ID:taimeiti),或者下载钛媒体App。
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